Over
one in eight adults are now obese -- a ratio that has more than doubled
since 1975 and will swell to one in five by 2025, a major survey
reported Friday.
Of
about five billion adults alive in 2014, 641 million were obese, the
data showed -- and projected the number will balloon past 1.1 billion in
just nine years.
"There will be health consequences of magnitudes that we do not know," author Majid Ezzati of Imperial College London told AFP.
The survey, published in The Lancet medical journal, claimed to be the most comprehensive of its kind conducted to date.
People
are divided into healthy or unhealthy weight categories based on a
universally-adopted measure dubbed Body Mass Index (BMI) -- a ratio of
weight-to-height squared.
A healthy BMI ranges from 18.5 to 24.9.
One
is considered underweight below 18.5, overweight from 25 up, and obese
from 30 -- when the risk of diabetes, stroke, heart disease and some
cancers escalates massively.
With a BMI of 35 one is categorised as severely obese, and from 40 upward as morbidly so.
Among
men globally, obesity tripled from 3.2 percent of the population in
1975 to 10.8 percent in 2014 (some 266 million), and among women from
6.4 percent to 14.9 percent (375 million), said the survey -- 12.9
percent combined.
This was equivalent to the average adult, 18 and older, being 1.5 kilos (3.3 pounds) heavier every decade.
"If
the rate of obesity continues at this pace, by 2025 roughly a fifth of
men (18 percent) and women (21 percent) will be obese," according to a
statement by The Lancet.
More than six percent of men and nine percent of women will be severely obese.
- Weighty flip-flop -
The
ratio of underweight people in the world declined at a slower rate than
obesity grew, said the authors -- from about 13.8 percent in 1975 to
8.8 percent for men, and 14.6 percent to 9.7 percent for women.
"Over
the past 40 years, we have changed from a world in which underweight
prevalence was more than double that of obesity, to one in which more
people are obese than underweight," said Ezzati.
At
current rates, more women will be severely obese (a BMI of 35 or more)
than underweight by 2025, and the world will miss its stated target of
halting obesity at 2010 levels.
In
2014, the world's fattest people lived in the island nations of
Polynesia and Micronesia, where 38 percent of men and more than half of
women were obese, said the study.
Nearly
a fifth of the world's obese adults (118 million) lived in six
high-income countries -- the United States, Britain, Ireland, Australia,
Canada and New Zealand.
The US was home to one in four severely obese men and almost one in five severely obese women in the world.
- Surgery as a solution? -
At
the other extreme, the paper said, Timor-Leste, Ethiopia and Eritrea
had the lowest BMI numbers in the world, with averages as low as 20.1
More
than a fifth of men in India, Bangladesh, Timor-Leste, Afghanistan,
Eritrea and Ethiopia, and a quarter of women in Bangladesh and India,
were underweight.
"The
global focus on the obesity epidemic has largely overshadowed the
persistence of underweight in some countries," the research paper said.
"To
address this problem will require social and food policies that enhance
food security in poor households, but also avoid overconsumption of
processed carbohydrates and other unhealthy foods."
Like being underweight, severe and morbid obesity has many health risks.
"We can deal with some of these, like higher cholesterol or blood pressure, through medicines," said Ezzati.
"But for many others, including diabetes, we don't have effective treatment."
The
paper says stomach-shrinking bariatric surgery may become the "most
effective intervention for weight loss and disease prevention" as
waistlines continue expanding.
The
data was compiled from 1,698 studies involving 19.2 million adults from
186 countries which are home to 99 percent of the world's population.
Unlike
earlier research, studies were only included if the participants'
height and weight had been measured -- not self-reported.
The data did not include statistics on children and teenagers.
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